I've been watching sports my whole life. Football Sundays, playoff basketball, baseball every night in the summer. And for just as long, I've been betting on games. Big wins, brutal losses, and more one-leg parlay misses than I care to admit.

For a long time I thought I had an edge because I knew the sports. Turns out, knowing the sport and having a system are two completely different things. I've spent my career in tech and sports on the product and marketing side, and I know what it looks like when decisions get made with real signal behind them. So I decided to stop betting on instinct and start building something that actually looked at the data. That became Strong Leans.

Every game gets scored 0 to 100 across six proprietary factors. The model only flags a Strong Lean when multiple things line up at once. Most games get passed on. That is the whole point.

The factors stay private. What you see is the output: a confidence score, a pick, and the reasoning behind it.

Most picks accounts only show you the wins. We post everything and track everything publicly. The record is right there on the Results tab. If the model is working, the data will show it. If it's not, the data will show that too.

No hot takes. No gut feelings. No hiding losses. Just the model, the picks, and the results.