MLB Picks · September 24, 2026
Arizona Diamondbacks vs Colorado Rockies
Strong Lean
Diamondbacks ML
-198
72
/ 100
Starting Pitchers
Arizona Diamondbacks · Away
Eduardo Rodriguez (LHP)
Colorado Rockies · Home
Tanner Gordon (RHP)
AI Analysis
Eduardo Rodriguez has been excellent this season (2.89 ERA, 1.23 WHIP, 15-7) and faces a Rockies team that hits LHP worse (.252/.709 vs LHP vs .254/.750 vs RHP). Gordon is a liability with a 6.01 ERA and 1.55 WHIP in 100 IP. Arizona has multiple players scorching hot — Nolan Arenado (.412 L14 🔥), Gabriel Moreno (.389 L14 🔥), and Geraldo Perdomo (.314 L14 🔥). Colorado is 57-101 and 2-8 over their last 10, while Arizona is on a 4-game winning streak. The -198 price is the only damper, offering limited betting value but clear team-quality edge.
Concerns
- •Coors Field boosts offense for both teams — Rockies can score in bunches at home
- •AZ priced at -198 — slight negative line value
- •AZ offense splits worse vs RHP (.232/.687) vs their norm vs LHP (.277/.786)
- •Rockies have some hot hitters: Norby (.333 L14), Tovar (.316 L14)
- •Rodriguez faces altitude at Coors, which can inflate run totals
Factor Breakdown