MLB Picks · May 29, 2026
Arizona Diamondbacks vs Seattle Mariners
Strong Lean🐶 Dog of the Day
Diamondbacks ML
+136
72
/ 100
Edge Score
Starting Pitchers
Arizona Diamondbacks · Away
Zac Gallen (RHP)
Seattle Mariners · Home
George Kirby (RHP)
AI Analysis
Arizona at +136 is outstanding underdog value for a team that is 31-24, 9-1 over L10 on a 5-game winning streak. Ketel Marte (.433 L14 🔥) and Corbin Carroll (.370 L14, .945 OPS 🔥) are the hottest duo on the slate. The Diamondbacks have scored 6.0 R/G over their last 5. Seattle's George Kirby (3.54 ERA, solid) is the pitching edge for the home side, but paying -162 for a .491 Mariners team in moderate form vs the hottest team on the board makes Arizona a compelling value play.
Concerns
- •Gallen's 4.80 ERA / 1.44 WHIP is below his usual standard
- •Kirby is legitimately good (3.54 ERA, 68.2 IP, 5-4)
- •AZ splits vs RHP: .235/.684 — slightly below average
- •Seattle L5: 5.6 R/G, .286/.787 — also hot offensively
- •Cool weather (51°F) at T-Mobile could slightly suppress offense
Factor Breakdown