Arizona Diamondbacks vs St. Louis Cardinals

Pallante has been solid (3.76 ERA, 1.20 WHIP, 8-4) versus Kelly who has struggled significantly (5.81 ERA, 1.51 WHIP, 5-6) — a meaningful pitching edge for St. Louis. The Cardinals' L5 offense has been exceptional (5.5 R/G, .282/.825) with Wetherholt, Winn, Church, and Fermín all hot recently. Arizona's lineup hits notably worse vs RHP (.226/.665) versus their performance vs LHP, a significant split disadvantage against Pallante. Arizona also has several cold hitters (Arenado, Vargas, Gurriel). At -144 the value is slightly negative but the quality edge is genuine.