Atlanta Braves vs Milwaukee Brewers

Logan Henderson has been outstanding in limited starts (2.70 ERA, 0.87 WHIP) and represents a significant pitching edge over Martín Pérez. Milwaukee boasts elite recent form — 80-49, scoring 5.7 R/G over L10 with a hot lineup featuring Bauers, Chourio, Mitchell, Ortiz, and Vaughn. Atlanta is in a significant offensive slump (2.8 R/G in L5, .212/.599 OPS) with Olson, Albies, and Acuña all running cold. The Brewers' lineup does face a LHP split disadvantage (.695 vs LHP vs .748 vs RHP), but Henderson's elite WHIP and the Braves' cold bats make this a clear Milwaukee lean. The -158 price is a slight negative but the edge is real.