MLB Picks · August 9, 2026
Atlanta Braves vs New York Yankees
Strong Lean🐶 Dog of the Day
Atlanta Braves ML
+131
74
/ 100
Starting Pitchers
Atlanta Braves · Away
Grant Holmes (RHP)
New York Yankees · Home
Cam Schlittler (RHP)
AI Analysis
Schlittler has been exceptional (2.26 ERA, 0.95 WHIP, 171 K in 139.2 IP) but the Yankees offense has collapsed — scoring just 3.0 R/G in the last 5 with multiple key hitters in deep freezes (Rice, Chisholm, Grisham, Goldschmidt). Atlanta at +131 is excellent value: they are 70-47 (.598), 8-2 in L10, and their offense is scoring 4.9 R/G vs a Holmes ERA of 3.67. The Braves lineup hits well vs RHP (.254/.747) and has solid depth. Schlittler's brilliance keeps this from being a Strong Lean, but Atlanta at +131 with a superior overall team record and hot recent form is a clear value play.
Concerns
- •Schlittler is elite — one of the best pitchers in this slate
- •Atlanta on a 2-game losing streak despite 8-2 L10
- •Holmes (3.67 ERA/1.34 WHIP) is solid but not dominant
- •Acuña, Harris II, Lane Thomas all cold recently
- •Yankees pitching (3.33 team ERA) is excellent at home
Factor Breakdown