MLB Picks · August 28, 2026
Baltimore Orioles vs Athletics
Lean
Baltimore Orioles ML
-108
65
/ 100
Starting Pitchers
Baltimore Orioles · Away
Brandon Young (RHP)
Athletics · Home
TBD
AI Analysis
With the Athletics' starter listed as TBD, Baltimore gains a structural pitching advantage — Young (ERA 3.50, WHIP 1.36, 9-3 W-L in 123.1 IP) is a solid arm against an Athletics roster that has a 5.42 team ERA and 5.34 RA/G. Pete Alonso is in remarkable form (.418 L14, 32 HR) and multiple Orioles bats are heating up (Cowser .314 L14, Beavers .306 L14). At -108 the price is essentially neutral value. The A's have multiple hot hitters themselves (Butler .360 L14, McNeil .352 L14, Bolte .321 L14) so this is not a walkover, but the TBD starter is a significant edge for BAL.
Concerns
- •ATH starter TBD — unknown quality arm adds uncertainty
- •A's offense is surprisingly decent (.735 OPS) and several hitters are hot
- •BAL L10 only 4-6, on a 1-game losing streak
- •BAL offense has cold spots: Basallo (.149 L14), Narváez (.083 L14)
- •Small edge — -108 is near pick'em; confidence is modest
Factor Breakdown