Baltimore Orioles vs Boston Red Sox

Boston is on a 13-game winning streak going 10-0 in their last 10, the hottest team on this slate. Payton Tolle has a strong 3.11 ERA and 1.07 WHIP in 84 IP, while Baz counters with a 4.19 ERA and 1.39 WHIP — a clear pitching edge for Boston. The Red Sox offense is scorching hot (5.6 R/G in L10, .805 OPS L5) with Willson Contreras (.931 OPS, .326 L14 🔥), Yoshida (.333 L14 🔥), and Monasterio (.289 L14 🔥) all raking. Baltimore has several cold bats (Basallo, Taveras, Cowser ❄️) and the Orioles hit worse against LHP (.230/.691 vs .240/.729 vs RHP). The main concern is -157 price, but the convergence of all three factors — pitching, offense, and form — justify a lean here.