Baltimore Orioles vs Boston Red Sox

Jake Bennett is one of the best pitching values on the board today — 2.35 ERA and 0.88 WHIP in 53.2 IP is elite, and he faces a BAL lineup that struggles against LHP (.232/.698 vs LHP vs .240/.727 vs RHP). Meanwhile, BOS is on a remarkable 14-game winning streak, going 10-0 in their last 10, with multiple hot hitters (Contreras .340 L14, Yoshida .333 L14, Monasterio .289 L14, Wong .324 L14). Kremer's ERA (4.15) and tiny 26 IP sample is a concern on the mound for BAL. BOS's team ERA of 3.55 and RA/G of 3.77 also outperform BAL. The -143 price is very reasonable given the confluence of elite pitching, hot lineup, splits advantage, and historic form streak.