Baltimore Orioles vs St. Louis Cardinals

Gordon Graceffo has been quietly outstanding — 3.13 ERA, 1.12 WHIP in 63.1 IP with a 7-1 record — easily clearing the pitching gate for a lean. The Cardinals lineup, despite a 3-7 L10, has a slight platoon edge against Rogers (LHP), hitting .239/.710 vs LHP. St. Louis features legitimate heat at the top with Burleson (.340 L14), Walker (.291 L14), and Church (.290 L14), all running hot. Baltimore's offense has been boosted by Alonso (.473 L14) and a few other hot bats, but Rogers' 4.14 ERA and 1.24 WHIP are solid without being dominant, and the Cardinals' 3.87 RA/G reflects a quality run-prevention unit. At +111, there's slight positive value on the Cardinals.