MLB Picks · August 28, 2026
Boston Red Sox vs New York Yankees
Strong Lean
New York Yankees ML
-148
71
/ 100
Starting Pitchers
Boston Red Sox · Away
Patrick Sandoval (LHP)
New York Yankees · Home
Cam Schlittler (RHP)
AI Analysis
Cam Schlittler is the standout starter on this slate — ERA 2.16, WHIP 0.96, 193 Ks in 158 IP with an 11-6 record is dominant. Patrick Sandoval is coming off a rough stretch (ERA 4.54, WHIP 1.76 in only 39.2 IP), suggesting injury or form issues. The Yankees hit .238/.726 vs LHP (their favorable split) while Boston's offense vs RHP (.247/.715) is below their typical ceiling. Multiple Yankee bats are heating up: Chisholm (.318 L14), Bellinger (.300 L14). At -148, the price is in the neutral-to-slight-negative range — Schlittler's elite profile justifies the play.
Concerns
- •Boston is legitimately good (73-60, 3.32 team ERA, 4.98 R/G)
- •BOS recent form is excellent: 7-3 L10, 5.4 R/G in last 10
- •Sandoval's high WHIP (1.76) in small sample could normalize
- •Several Yankees cold: Caballero (.121 L14), Ramos (.089 L14), Goldschmidt (.162 L14)
- •-148 eats into value vs a strong BOS team
Factor Breakdown