MLB Picks · September 9, 2026
Chicago Cubs vs Milwaukee Brewers
Strong Lean
Milwaukee Brewers ML
-131
75
/ 100
Starting Pitchers
Chicago Cubs · Away
Kevin Gausman (RHP)
Milwaukee Brewers · Home
Logan Henderson (RHP)
AI Analysis
Logan Henderson is one of the premier starters on this entire slate — 2.48 ERA, an extraordinary 0.79 WHIP, 93 Ks over 83 innings, and a 9-3 record. That dominant pitching profile gives Milwaukee a clear edge over Gausman (4.38 ERA, 1.26 WHIP). The Brewers are the best team in this game (90-56) and their recent form is excellent (5.5 R/G in L10, multiple hot hitters). Chicago is on a 3-game losing streak and hits significantly worse vs RHP (.246/.755 vs RHP vs .264/.807 vs LHP). The -131 price is acceptable for Henderson's caliber.
Concerns
- •Cubs have a dangerous lineup (Crow-Armstrong .949 OPS, Conforto and Happ hot)
- •Chicago hits LHP better — Henderson is a RHP so no handedness disadvantage for Cubs
- •Brewers are 5-5 in L10, not dominant recently
- •Gausman has 165 Ks and can go deep in games
Factor Breakdown