MLB Picks · June 23, 2026

Chicago Cubs vs New York Mets

Strong Lean
Chicago Cubs ML
-102
75
/ 100
Starting Pitchers
Chicago Cubs · Away
Edward Cabrera (RHP)
New York Mets · Home
Kodai Senga (RHP)
AI Analysis

Senga is a disaster right now: 9.00 ERA, 1.88 WHIP, 0-5 record in 24 IP — he has been one of the worst starters in baseball. The Cubs' offense has exploded for 6.0 R/G over the last 10 games with Pete Crow-Armstrong (.448 L14 🔥), Seiya Suzuki (.383 L14 🔥), and Ian Happ all producing. Cabrera's 5.21 ERA is a concern but the Mets lineup (.669 OPS, 4.04 R/G) lacks the firepower to overcome it. At -102 the Cubs represent excellent value — near even money on a significant pitching and recent-form edge.

Concerns
  • Cabrera ERA 5.21 and WHIP 1.40 — not reliable
  • Juan Soto (.354 L14 🔥) is elite and can carry the Mets offense
  • Mets are at home at Citi Field
  • Cubs on 1-game losing streak; Mets L10 5-5 is respectable
Factor Breakdown
Powered by AI scoring across 6 proprietary factors. For informational and entertainment purposes only — not financial or betting advice, and results are not guaranteed. Must be 21+ or the applicable minimum age in your jurisdiction to wager.
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