MLB Picks · August 23, 2026
Chicago Cubs vs Seattle Mariners
Lean
Cubs ML
-113
67
/ 100
Starting Pitchers
Chicago Cubs · Away
Shota Imanaga (LHP)
Seattle Mariners · Home
Bryce Miller (RHP)
AI Analysis
Shota Imanaga (3.77 ERA, 1.09 WHIP, 140 Ks) has been consistently solid and presents a quality pitching edge over Miller (3.71 ERA, 1.04 WHIP). The bigger edge comes from the offensive split: Seattle hits LHP significantly worse (.215/.639 vs LHP vs .236/.706 vs RHP), which directly hurts them against Imanaga. Chicago's offense is the best in this game (5.23 R/G, .759 OPS) with Bregman, Crow-Armstrong, Suzuki, and Happ all contributing. At -113, the Cubs offer modest value for a better team with the pitching and offensive split advantage.
Concerns
- •Cubs on a 3-game losing streak and 4-6 in L10 — cooling off
- •Crow-Armstrong ice cold (.203 L14) despite huge season numbers
- •Conforto cold (.108 L14) — lineup has weak spots
- •Miller's 1.04 WHIP is excellent — can neutralize Cubs offense
Factor Breakdown