Chicago White Sox vs Chicago Cubs

Clay Holmes has been excellent (2.56 ERA, 1.07 WHIP, 63.1 IP) and the Cubs' lineup gets a massive split boost against Newcomb — they hit .269/.808 vs LHP versus .242/.740 vs RHP, a clear and significant advantage. The Cubs are 74-53, one of the better teams in baseball, with multiple hot bats (Bregman, Hoerner 🔥) and a potent offense at 5.18 R/G. Newcomb's 2.51 ERA is impressive but comes in only 68 innings, and Chicago's lineup is well-positioned to expose a LHP. At -140, the price is slight negative value but justified by the pitching and split edges.