Cincinnati Reds vs Arizona Diamondbacks

Eduardo Rodriguez is pitching at an elite level (2.71 ERA, 1.21 WHIP, 12-4) and represents the clear pitching advantage in this matchup over the struggling Lodolo (4.52 ERA, 1.42 WHIP, limited 71.2 IP). The decisive factor is Arizona's extraordinary LHP splits — they hit .274/.785 vs LHP while Lodolo is a lefty, meaning the D-backs' lineup is strongly positioned against CIN's starter. The Arizona lineup has hot hitters in Moreno and Tim Tawa, while Cincinnati's lineup is ice-cold (3.6 R/G in L5, .592 OPS) with multiple frozen bats. E-Rod's ERA and the split advantage make this a strong play at -141.