Cincinnati Reds vs Atlanta Braves

Chris Sale is having a dominant season: 2.18 ERA, 0.99 WHIP, 190 strikeouts in 157 innings — one of the best starters in the NL. Atlanta's lineup is 5.1 R/G over the last 10 games with Olson, Drake Baldwin, Dubon, and Yastrzemski all hot in recent games. Cincinnati counters with Abbott (4.70 ERA, 1.47 WHIP), a well below-average starter who will struggle against a quality Braves lineup. The Reds are 73-84, cold offensively (3.5 R/G L10), and have multiple cold hitters (Hayes, Trevino). Despite the -271 price being steep, Sale vs Abbott is as lopsided a pitching matchup as you'll find. However, the price creates significant negative value — lean is strong but the juice makes it a pass for a formal play.