MLB Picks · May 26, 2026
Cincinnati Reds vs New York Mets
Strong Lean
Reds ML
-120
75
/ 100
Edge Score
Starting Pitchers
Cincinnati Reds · Away
Chase Burns (RHP)
New York Mets · Home
TBD
AI Analysis
Chase Burns is having a Cy Young-caliber season (ERA 1.83, WHIP 0.95, 64 K in 59 IP) and faces a Mets offense that is one of the coldest on the slate (L5: 1.2 R/G, .169 AVG, .472 OPS — worst in the data). The Mets' starter is TBD, meaning Cincinnati likely faces a bullpen game or a weak fill-in. De La Cruz (.863 OPS, .310 L14), Stewart (.831 OPS), and Steer (.327 L14 🔥) give Cincinnati real firepower. The Mets are 22-32 and on a 4-game losing streak. This is one of the most lopsided pitching matchups of the day.
Concerns
- •Mets' starter TBD — could be a crafty opener or bulk arm, not necessarily a weakness
- •Cincinnati team ERA (4.72) is poor if bullpen needed
- •Mets' recent bats Benge (.323 L14 🔥) and Baty (.300 L14 🔥) are warming up
- •Cincinnati's TJ Friedl (.146 L14) and McLain (.189 L14) are cold
- •Weather data unavailable
Factor Breakdown