Cincinnati Reds vs Pittsburgh Pirates

Paul Skenes is one of the best pitchers in baseball (2.86 ERA, 0.93 WHIP, 107 K in 88 IP) and faces a cold Reds lineup that hits .224/.685 vs RHP — multiple key bats are ice cold (Steer, De La Cruz, Bleday). Pittsburgh's offense is on a tear (5.2 R/G last 10, .285 AVG/.803 OPS), with Bryan Reynolds scorching (.396 L14) and multiple contributors performing well. Abbott's 1.42 WHIP is concerning. The -194 price is steep but the matchup heavily favors Pittsburgh across all three factors.