MLB Picks · September 13, 2026
Colorado Rockies vs Detroit Tigers
Lean
Tigers ML
-186
65
/ 100
Starting Pitchers
Colorado Rockies · Away
Gabriel Hughes (RHP)
Detroit Tigers · Home
Jackson Jobe (RHP)
AI Analysis
Detroit holds a clear pitching and form edge over Colorado. Hughes has been terrible (5.81 ERA, 0-7 W-L) while Jobe, though limited in IP, has a manageable profile against a Rockies lineup on a 6-game losing streak. Detroit's team ERA (3.83) and RA/G (3.52) are significantly better than Colorado's, and the Tigers have won 3 straight. Colorado's offense has mixed signals — some hot bats (Rumfield, McCarthy) but plenty of cold ones. At -186, the juice makes this lean rather than a strong play.
Concerns
- •Jobe has limited MLB IP (28.1), small sample size
- •Colorado has some genuinely hot hitters (Rumfield .388, McCarthy .339 L14)
- •DET lineup has multiple cold hitters in L14
- •-186 moneyline is steep and compresses value significantly
Factor Breakdown