MLB Picks · September 10, 2026
Colorado Rockies vs New York Yankees
Strong Lean
Yankees ML
-301
80
/ 100
Starting Pitchers
Colorado Rockies · Away
Ryan Feltner (RHP)
New York Yankees · Home
Max Fried (LHP)
AI Analysis
This is the clearest edge on the slate. Max Fried is pitching at an elite level (2.73 ERA, 0.99 WHIP) against a Colorado team that is 55-90, on a 3-game losing streak, and sending Ryan Feltner to the mound (5.91 ERA, 1.58 WHIP). The Yankees are on a 7-3 L10 run, scoring 6 R/G in that stretch, with multiple 🔥 hot hitters (Rice, Chisholm, García Jr., Goldschmidt). Colorado hits .250/.701 vs LHP, which is their weaker split, further amplifying Fried's advantage. The only concern is the -301 price, which is steep, but the multi-factor dominance — pitching gate cleared easily, clear offensive edge, superior recent form — supports a play despite the heavy juice.
Concerns
- •Price of -301 is significant negative value — needs overwhelming edge
- •Colorado has some legitimate power bats (Goodman 37 HR, TJ Rumfield 🔥)
- •Fried has only 95.2 IP — possible workload management late in year
- •Rockies hit .250/.701 vs LHP — not without threats
- •COL offense OPS .750 is actually decent on paper
Factor Breakdown