MLB Picks · September 6, 2026
Detroit Tigers vs Cleveland Guardians
Strong Lean
Guardians ML
-171
71
/ 100
Starting Pitchers
Detroit Tigers · Away
Jackson Jobe (RHP)
Cleveland Guardians · Home
Gavin Williams (RHP)
AI Analysis
Gavin Williams (3.81 ERA, 1.09 WHIP, 217 K in 163 IP, 13-7) is an elite starter and holds a massive advantage over Jackson Jobe (4.63 ERA, 1.46 WHIP, just 23.1 IP this season — likely returning from injury/IL). Detroit is 3-7 in their L10, on a brutal offensive skid (.213/.592 L10), and nearly every hitter in their lineup is ice-cold. Cleveland's home-field advantage combined with Williams' stuff makes this a strong lean.
Concerns
- •Cleveland's offense is also modest vs RHP (.240/.692)
- •Guardians are only 5-5 L10 and on a 1-game losing streak
- •DeLauter and Bazzana are hot but overall lineup is average
- •Jobe's small sample size (23.1 IP) creates some uncertainty
Factor Breakdown