MLB Picks · September 16, 2026
Detroit Tigers vs Toronto Blue Jays
Strong Lean🐶 Dog of the Day
Detroit Tigers ML
+114
76
/ 100
Starting Pitchers
Detroit Tigers · Away
Keider Montero (RHP)
Toronto Blue Jays · Home
Max Scherzer (RHP)
AI Analysis
Scherzer's 2026 has been a disaster — 6.38 ERA, 1.37 WHIP in only 67.2 IP, with a 2-8 record. Montero (3.55 ERA, 1.03 WHIP) is a solid counter. Detroit is on a blistering 6-game win streak, scoring 6.3 R/G over their last 10, with Riley Greene 🔥 and Torkelson hot. Toronto is 4-6 in the L10 on a 2-game skid with the league's worst run output (3.55 R/G). The +114 line on DET represents excellent value given the clear pitching and form edge. Scherzer's ERA alone should worry Toronto backers.
Concerns
- •Dingler, Keith, McKinstry, Hao-Yu Lee, Báez all ❄️ for Detroit
- •TOR offense vs RHP decent (.257/.713 splits)
- •Scherzer's history and veteran wile — small chance of bounce-back
- •Rogers Centre park factors (roof) introduce some variance
Factor Breakdown