Houston Astros vs Philadelphia Phillies

Wesneski brings a stellar 3.18 ERA and elite 1.06 WHIP into Citizens Bank Park, far superior to Painter's ugly 5.55 ERA and 1.37 WHIP. Houston's pitching staff has also allowed fewer runs (3.6 RA/G) than Philly (4.2 RA/G). The Phillies lineup has cooled off considerably — only 3.4 R/G over the last 10 games with multiple cold hitters. Wesneski's small sample size (39.2 IP) is a concern, but the ERA/WHIP differential clearly favors Houston. At +119, there is real line value for the Astros.