Kansas City Royals vs Cleveland Guardians

Griffin (3.19 ERA, 1.13 WHIP, 15-4) is one of the best pitching records on the slate, though the Guardians face a tough matchup as both starters are LHP. CLE's lineup hits LHP somewhat poorly (.228/.669) as does KC's (.248/.708), so neither side has a handedness edge. The real advantages for CLE are: superior ERA (3.54 team vs 4.51 for KC), 8-2 L10 record, and several hot individual bats (DeLauter .354, Angel Martínez .283 L14). KC has been red-hot offensively (5.9 R/G L5, Caglianone .426 L14) on a 9-1 run which is the main risk. At -148, the price is getting into slight-negative value territory, making this a lean rather than a strong play.