Los Angeles Angels vs Baltimore Orioles

Brandon Young has been excellent in 2026 with a 3.31 ERA and 8-2 record over 103.1 IP, representing a massive pitching edge over Ryan Johnson's brutal 7.63 ERA and 1.59 WHIP. The Angels are in a miserable stretch — just 2-8 in L10, 2.5 R/G in last 5 games with .577 OPS, and a lineup littered with cold hitters (Neto, Peraza, Lowe, Guzman all ❄️). Baltimore's lineup has Tyler O'Neill and Coby Mayo both running hot, and the Orioles have won 6 of their last 10. The -183 line carries slight negative value, but Young's dominant form and Johnson's historically bad numbers justify the play.