MLB Picks · September 24, 2026
Los Angeles Angels vs Seattle Mariners
Strong Lean
Mariners ML
-220
71
/ 100
Starting Pitchers
Los Angeles Angels · Away
Grayson Rodriguez (RHP)
Seattle Mariners · Home
Bryan Woo (RHP)
AI Analysis
Bryan Woo's 3.92 ERA, 1.08 WHIP, and 167 K in 167.2 IP is a commanding edge over Grayson Rodriguez's 5.96 ERA and 1.54 WHIP in 93.2 IP. The Angels are 60-98, scoring just 3.36 R/G and posting .659 OPS in their last 5 games. Seattle's offense is surging — 5.4 R/G in their last 10 with Arozarena (🔥 .340 L14) and Julio Rodriguez (🔥 .327 L14) leading the way. Dominic Canzone (🔥 .321 L14) adds more firepower. The Angels hitting .232/.672 vs RHP fits Woo's profile well. Seattle at -220 is steep pricing, but the quality gap is wide enough to support this as a lean play.
Concerns
- •Mariners priced at -220 — significant negative line value
- •Mariners only 74-84 on the season — middling overall record
- •Taylor Ward (.111 L14 ❄️) is severely cold in Seattle's lineup
- •Mike Trout (.283 L14, .815 OPS) is an ever-present threat for LAA
- •Rodriguez showing 83 K in 93.2 IP — limited swing-and-miss despite poor ERA
Factor Breakdown