Los Angeles Dodgers vs Cincinnati Reds

The Dodgers get a substantial pitching edge with Wrobleski (3.78 ERA, 1.16 WHIP) against Singer (5.38 ERA, 1.51 WHIP, 6-14 W-L), who has been one of the worst starters in the NL this season. LAD's offense scores 4.94 R/G and hits .259/.764 vs RHP — solid against Singer. Cincinnati's lineup is anemic overall (.700 OPS, 3.93 R/G) and McLain (.152 L14), Hayes (.147 L14), and Friedl (.165 AVG) are dreadful. Elly De La Cruz (.426 L14) is a threat, but the Reds' broader lineup can't compensate. The Dodgers are a 92-win team facing a 71-81 opponent with an ace-level starter/quality arm advantage. -164 is slightly negative value but Singer's ERA justifies it.