MLB Picks · June 24, 2026
Los Angeles Dodgers vs Minnesota Twins
Strong Lean
Dodgers ML
-181
76
/ 100
Starting Pitchers
Los Angeles Dodgers · Away
Shohei Ohtani
Minnesota Twins · Home
Joe Ryan
AI Analysis
Shohei Ohtani (ERA 1.47, WHIP 0.88) is arguably the best pitcher in baseball right now, and the Dodgers (51-29) are the best team on the slate. While Joe Ryan (ERA 2.99, WHIP 1.00) is also excellent, the gap between Ohtani and Ryan is substantial. The Dodgers hit .272/.807 vs RHP and have Freeman, Muncy, and Betts showing recent heat. Minnesota is 38-43 with a 4.83 team ERA and 5.19 RA/G. The Twins' L10 has been strong offensively (6.5 R/G), keeping the Dodgers from being a dominant favorite.
Concerns
- •Ohtani is pitching AND batting — his own offense adds value
- •Joe Ryan (ERA 2.99, WHIP 1.00) is a legitimate ace — keeps Twins in it
- •Twins L10 offense is explosive (6.5 R/G) with Buxton, Bell, Larnach all hot
- •Dodgers at -181 is slight negative value territory
- •Dodgers L10 offense (4.4 R/G) has cooled slightly vs their season average
Factor Breakdown