Miami Marlins vs Arizona Diamondbacks

Sandy Alcantara (ERA 3.78, WHIP 1.22, 200 IP, 13-10) is a proven workhorse with a long track record of quality starts. Corbin Burnes shows 0.00 ERA but in only 3 IP — essentially a complete unknown in this context, likely recently activated or debuting from injury/IL. The Diamondbacks hit RHP poorly (.231/.683 vs RHP) compared to LHP, a significant split disadvantage today. Miami's offense has been productive recently (5.4 R/G L10) with multiple hot hitters (Lopez, Marsee, Sanoja, Conine all 🔥). At +110, the Marlins offer slight positive value. The combination of Alcantara's durability, AZ's poor RHP split, and the underdog price makes this a lean.