MLB Picks · May 29, 2026
Miami Marlins vs New York Mets
Strong Lean
Marlins ML
+118
71
/ 100
Edge Score
Starting Pitchers
Miami Marlins · Away
Max Meyer (RHP)
New York Mets · Home
Freddy Peralta (RHP)
AI Analysis
Max Meyer is having an excellent season (2.52 ERA, 1.05 WHIP, 68 K in 60.2 IP, 5-0) and faces a Mets lineup that is brutally cold — 1.8 R/G over L5, .186/.544, and the worst offensive team (.642 OPS) among the home teams on this slate. The Mets are 23-33 with a 3-7 L10 record. Miami at +118 is strong underdog value given Meyer's quality. Xavier Edwards and Otto Lopez provide lineup depth for the Marlins. Peralta is decent but not elite against a Marlins team with a solid .261/.724 L5 offensive showing.
Concerns
- •Mets playing at home with 1-game winning streak momentum
- •Multiple Marlins hitters cold or below average (Marsee, Norby ❄️)
- •Peralta has 63 K in 61.1 IP — can neutralize Miami lineup
- •Marlins are 26-31 overall — not a great team
- •Wind from the south at Citi Field slightly into hitters
Factor Breakdown