MLB Picks · August 28, 2026
Miami Marlins vs Washington Nationals
Lean
Marlins ML
-147
68
/ 100
Starting Pitchers
Miami Marlins · Away
Eury Pérez (RHP)
Washington Nationals · Home
Jackson Kent (LHP)
AI Analysis
This matchup has a massive pitching disparity. Eury Pérez (ERA 3.17, WHIP 1.11, 137 Ks in 127.2 IP) is a legitimate ace-level arm, while Jackson Kent is making his way through just 12.1 IP with an 8.03 ERA and 2.11 WHIP — he has been shelled in his limited appearances. The Marlins also have several lineup pieces running hot (Stowers, H. Hernández, Marsee, Sanoja all with 🔥 in recent games). At -147, the price is in the neutral-to-acceptable range for the caliber of edge on the mound.
Concerns
- •Marlins offense hits only .237/.698 vs LHP (below their vs-RHP norm)
- •Kent's small sample size (12.1 IP) adds some uncertainty
- •MIA L10 only 5-5 and their offense is modest (3.78 R/G)
- •Otto Lopez ice cold in last 14G (.222 AVG)
Factor Breakdown