MLB Picks · June 24, 2026
Milwaukee Brewers vs Cincinnati Reds
Strong Lean
Brewers ML
-140
72
/ 100
Starting Pitchers
Milwaukee Brewers · Away
Shane Drohan
Cincinnati Reds · Home
Rhett Lowder
AI Analysis
Milwaukee is the best-record team in this game (48-29, .623) and one of the best teams in baseball. Shane Drohan (ERA 3.40, WHIP 1.17) holds a notable edge over Rhett Lowder (ERA 4.82, WHIP 1.45). The Brewers' offense hits .258/.747 vs RHP and features Jackson Chourio (.293/.867) and William Contreras (.340 L14). Cincinnati's offense is cold (3.8 R/G L10, .192 L10 AVG) and multiple Reds hitters (Steer, EDLC, Bleday) are ice cold. The Brewers are the clear class of this matchup.
Concerns
- •Drohan is a smaller-sample starter (47.2 IP) — regression risk
- •Reds hit .232/.741 vs LHP — slight positive split against Drohan
- •Cincinnati at home with Elly De La Cruz and Nathaniel Lowe hot
- •Brewers offense has cooled (4.3 R/G L10 vs 5.21 season average)
- •Brice Turang and Jake Bauers are cold recently
Factor Breakdown