MLB Picks · May 28, 2026
Minnesota Twins vs Chicago White Sox
Strong Lean
White Sox ML
-165
72
/ 100
Edge Score
Starting Pitchers
Minnesota Twins · Away
Kendry Rojas
Chicago White Sox · Home
Davis Martin
AI Analysis
Davis Martin has been outstanding in 2026 — 2.04 ERA, 1.02 WHIP, 7-1 record across 61.2 IP — and he faces a Twins offense that has cooled off significantly (3.6 R/G in L5) with several cold bats (Brooks Lee .204 L14, Austin Martin .212 L14). Chicago's lineup hits LHP very well at .247/.789 vs the .232/.705 they post against RHP, and they face Rojas (LHP) who has only 14.1 IP of track record. The Sox are scorching hot offensively (5.8 R/G in L5) and Murakami (.275 L14), Vargas, and Montgomery provide real power. Wind blowing in at 15 mph NNE is a mild suppressor for offense but benefits the elite Martin. At Rate Field, the edge is clearly Chicago.
Concerns
- •Rojas tiny sample (14.1 IP) — ERA could be misleading
- •Twins are 7-3 in L10 despite recent cooling — underlying quality still present
- •Wind 15 mph in from NNE — suppresses offense for both sides
- •Twins' Buxton (.281 L14, .898 OPS) is a genuine threat
- •Moneyline price on a good Sox team may be short
Factor Breakdown