MLB Picks · August 9, 2026
Minnesota Twins vs Milwaukee Brewers
Strong Lean
Milwaukee Brewers ML
-258
74
/ 100
Starting Pitchers
Minnesota Twins · Away
Connor Prielipp (LHP)
Milwaukee Brewers · Home
Jacob Misiorowski (RHP)
AI Analysis
Misiorowski is arguably the best pitcher on the entire slate — 1.63 ERA, 0.73 WHIP, 195 K in 127 IP, and a 11-5 record. This is a dominant pitching edge that anchors the entire pick. Milwaukee leads the NL Central at 73-44 and has a stout 3.48 team ERA. Minnesota's offense struggles vs RHP in their splits and the Twins are 4-6 in L10 with multiple cold lineup contributors. The -258 price is steep but Misiorowski's dominance makes it defensible as a moderate play.
Concerns
- •-258 moneyline requires significant edge — this is costly
- •Brewers offense hits LHP only .238/.686 — they may be held down somewhat
- •Twins have Royce Lewis hot recently (.365 L14)
- •Minnesota's Prielipp (4.75 ERA) is below average but functional
- •Brewers L10 only 6-4 despite roster quality
Factor Breakdown