New York Mets vs Atlanta Braves

Atlanta holds a clear edge in pitching with Reynaldo López (ERA 3.31, WHIP 1.30, 4-1) facing a struggling Mets offense (.228/.668 vs RHP, 3.7 R/G in L10). The Braves own a 52-36 record with strong team ERA (3.53) and RA/G (3.81). Their lineup hits .252/.733 vs RHP and features multiple quality bats in Olson, Harris II, and a hot Mauricio Dubón (L14 .340). New York's Peralta has been inconsistent (ERA 4.81, WHIP 1.42) and the Mets lineup has multiple cold spots (Baty, Vientos, Torrens). At -132, there is slight negative value to consider, but the pitching and team quality gap is real.