MLB Picks · June 1, 2026
New York Mets vs Seattle Mariners
Strong Lean
Mariners ML
-152
72
/ 100
Edge Score
Starting Pitchers
New York Mets · Away
Austin Warren (RHP)
Seattle Mariners · Home
Emerson Hancock (RHP)
AI Analysis
Seattle presents a strong multi-factor edge. Emerson Hancock has been excellent all year (2.78 ERA, 1.01 WHIP, 63 Ks in 64.2 IP) and the Mariners are riding a 6-game win streak (8-2 L10) with a sizzling recent offense (28 R in L5, 5.6 R/G, .315 AVG, .917 OPS). The Mariners' team ERA (3.46) and RA/G (3.75) ranks among the best in baseball. Warren's 1.40 ERA is a tiny sample (19.1 IP) that inflates his apparent quality. The Mets' lineup is below-average (.654 OPS, 4.05 R/G) with mostly cold or mediocre hitters, and they bat just .231/.656 vs RHP. Seattle's lineup bats .247/.758 vs RHP (Warren's handedness), providing another split edge. Cool 73°F weather with north wind at T-Mobile Park is pitcher-friendly.
Concerns
- •Austin Warren's 1.40 ERA over 19.1 IP is a tiny sample — could be legitimately elite or due for regression
- •Mets have won 4 straight and scored 31 R in L5 (6.2 R/G) — they are playing better ball
- •T-Mobile Park is a pitcher's park, which can suppress Mariners' offense too
- •Randy Arozarena is cold (❄️) for Seattle despite solid season numbers
- •Mets' team ERA (3.82) and pitching is actually respectable
Factor Breakdown