MLB Picks · June 3, 2026
New York Mets vs Seattle Mariners
Strong Lean
Mariners ML
-149
75
/ 100
Edge Score
Starting Pitchers
New York Mets · Away
Freddy Peralta (RHP)
Seattle Mariners · Home
George Kirby (RHP)
AI Analysis
Seattle is riding an 8-game winning streak with an elite 3.43 team ERA and 3.71 RA/G. George Kirby (3.77 ERA) faces a Mets lineup that is the weakest offense in today's slate (OPS .650, R/G 4.00) with most key hitters below .230 and cold across the board. The Mariners' offense is surging in the L5 (26 R, 5.2 R/G, OPS .900) and they hit RHP at .247/.757 — solid. T-Mobile Park's cool 67°F and SW wind (blowing in slightly) marginally suppresses offense, which further hurts the already-anemic Mets. Seattle's overall team quality edge is the clearest in today's slate.
Concerns
- •Kirby (5-4) is not a frontline ace — ERA slightly elevated
- •Peralta is a quality arm (3.55 ERA, 68 K in 66 IP) capable of containing Seattle
- •Mets scored 30 R in L5 games — offense can flash
- •Mets may be due for positive regression after 4-6 L10
Factor Breakdown