MLB Picks · September 23, 2026
New York Mets vs Texas Rangers
Lean
Mets ML
-107
65
/ 100
Starting Pitchers
New York Mets · Away
Nolan McLean (RHP)
Texas Rangers · Home
Cody Bradford (LHP)
AI Analysis
Nolan McLean is having a strong season — 3.18 ERA, 1.19 WHIP, 189 Ks in 172.2 innings — a legitimate top-of-rotation arm. Texas counters with Cody Bradford, who is 0-5 with a 4.19 ERA and concerning 1.50 WHIP in only 38.2 innings. The Mets hit RHP (vs Bradford) at .713 OPS and have several hot hitters recently (Ewing, Baty, Vientos in ❄️ form recently but multiple other hot bats). The Mets are near even-money at -107, representing solid value for the superior pitching matchup. Texas hits LHP (Bradford is LHP) — wait, Mets throw RHP McLean vs Texas LHP Bradford — Rangers hit LHP at .762 OPS which is a threat, but Bradford has been poor this year.
Concerns
- •Bradford is LHP and Rangers hit LHP at .762 OPS — significant split concern
- •Texas has multiple hot hitters in L14 (Lopez, Foscue, Jung)
- •Mets only 72-85, not a strong team overall
- •Mets L10 4-6 with mixed recent form
- •Bradford small sample (38.2 IP) — ERA could stabilize
Factor Breakdown