New York Mets vs Texas Rangers

Thornton's 3.40 ERA and 1.15 WHIP give him a clear edge over Rocker's 4.47 ERA and 1.42 WHIP, and this pitching advantage is the key driver here. The Rangers hit LHP at .261/.760 — a meaningful split — but Texas's lineup is severely cold recently with multiple ❄️ hitters and only 2.31 AVG / .641 OPS in the last 5 games. The Mets get value at +109 with the better pitcher on the mound. Mets own a surprisingly strong RA/G of 3.21 on the season, suggesting their pitching staff overall is performing well.