MLB Picks · July 29, 2026
New York Yankees vs Chicago White Sox
Strong Lean
Yankees ML
-144
72
/ 100
Starting Pitchers
New York Yankees · Away
Cam Schlittler (RHP)
Chicago White Sox · Home
Davis Martin (RHP)
AI Analysis
Schlittler has been outstanding in 2026 — 2.07 ERA, 0.93 WHIP, 157 K in 130.1 IP — providing a dominant pitching edge over Martin's 3.49 ERA/1.27 WHIP. The Yankees are 61-46 with a 3.40 team ERA and have been strong (7-3 L10). CWS has cooled (4-6 L10, on L2 streak) and while their lineup has some pop, they're facing one of the better young arms in baseball. NYY's -144 price is slightly costly but justified by Schlittler's elite performance.
Concerns
- •NYY offense has gone cold (3.7 R/G L10, .207 AVG, .622 OPS L10)
- •Several cold bats in NYY lineup (Grisham, Caballero)
- •-144 price is at the threshold of slight negative value
- •CWS has solid home offense (.730 OPS vs RHP) and Meidroth blazing hot
Factor Breakdown