MLB Picks · September 14, 2026
New York Yankees vs Minnesota Twins
Strong Lean
Yankees ML
-126
73
/ 100
Starting Pitchers
New York Yankees · Away
Will Warren (RHP)
Minnesota Twins · Home
Dean Kremer (RHP)
AI Analysis
Dean Kremer (ERA 5.65, WHIP 1.30) is a significant liability for Minnesota, and the Yankees have a clear pitching advantage even with Will Warren being a mid-rotation arm (ERA 4.05). The Yankees offense is humming with Rice, Bellinger, and Luis García Jr. all 🔥 and posting a strong 5.05 R/G. Minnesota's offense has been dreadful lately (3.1 R/G in last 10) and their lineup is not particularly threatening. The Twins are going in the wrong direction (3-7 L10, L1 streak) while NYY has won 7 of their last 10. At -126, the price is reasonable.
Concerns
- •Will Warren's ERA 4.05 is not dominant — pitching edge is based on Kremer being worse
- •Judge and McMahon both running cold ❄️
- •Minnesota hits RHP fairly well (.249/.743 vs RHP) — not a pushover split
- •Warren has not been a consistent stopper this season
Factor Breakdown