MLB Picks · September 13, 2026
Philadelphia Phillies vs Atlanta Braves
Strong Lean
Braves ML
-131
73
/ 100
Starting Pitchers
Philadelphia Phillies · Away
Andrew Painter (RHP)
Atlanta Braves · Home
Grant Holmes (RHP)
AI Analysis
Grant Holmes (3.46 ERA, 9-5, 137.2 IP) is one of the best starters on the slate and faces a Phillies offense that has cooled significantly (3.5 R/G in last 5 games, .210 AVG, .622 OPS) with many cold hitters. Andrew Painter's 5.71 ERA and 3-9 record is a significant liability. Atlanta has won 3 straight, owns the better record, and their lineup is hitting .251 vs RHP. At -131, the price is manageable for the pitching edge.
Concerns
- •Atlanta's own lineup has multiple cold hitters in L14 (Olson, Albies, Harris)
- •Phillies have real power threat in Schwarber (44 HR) and Harper (.320 L14)
- •Atlanta's L10 offense has slowed (4.5 R/G, .227 AVG, .672 OPS in last 5)
Factor Breakdown