Philadelphia Phillies vs Kansas City Royals

Jesús Luzardo (3.88 ERA, 1.30 WHIP, 116 K in 97.1 IP) is a legitimate strikeout weapon and carries a clear edge over Michael Wacha (3.31 ERA, 1.14 WHIP) — both are respectable starters, but Luzardo's K upside and Philadelphia's explosive recent offense (6.4 R/G L10, OPS .805 L5) tip this matchup significantly. Bryce Harper (.382 L14), Trea Turner (.322 L14), and Justin Crawford (.326 L14) are all red-hot. Kansas City's offense has collapsed recently (3.2 R/G L10) and they're on a 3-game losing streak. The Phillies are 49-39 and playing their best baseball. At -156, the price is slightly unfavorable but the data supports the edge.