MLB Picks · August 24, 2026
Philadelphia Phillies vs Seattle Mariners
Strong Lean
Phillies ML
-108
81
/ 100
Starting Pitchers
Philadelphia Phillies · Away
Zack Wheeler (RHP)
Seattle Mariners · Home
Logan Gilbert (RHP)
AI Analysis
Zack Wheeler is elite (2.92 ERA, 1.01 WHIP, 144 K in 120.1 IP) and holds a clear edge over Logan Gilbert (3.35 ERA, 1.01 WHIP) — both have identical WHIPs but Wheeler's ERA and strikeout rate are superior. Philadelphia's offense is on a historic run — 9-1 L10, W9 streak, 6.5 R/G last 5 games with a .841 OPS — the hottest team on the slate. The Mariners lineup is cold and shallow: Raleigh (.159 AVG, .146 L14), Rivas (.147 AVG), and Young (.151 L14) are severe drags. Seattle hits only .235 overall and .703 OPS vs RHP. Wheeler at near-neutral odds (-108) with the league's hottest offense is strong value.
Concerns
- •Gilbert is also a quality pitcher (1.01 WHIP, 157 K) — not a pushover
- •PHI splits vs RHP slightly worse than vs LHP (.726 vs .701) — marginal disadvantage
- •Some PHI cold bats (Trea Turner .207 L14)
- •SEA has home field advantage with Arozarena and Naylor hot recently
Factor Breakdown