Pittsburgh Pirates vs New York Yankees

Braxton Ashcraft is one of the best starters in this slate — 3.49 ERA, 1.11 WHIP, 128 Ks in 113.1 IP and a 9-3 record — while Weathers counters with a 4.15 ERA and 3-7 mark. Pittsburgh's offense is rolling hard (6.9 R/G over the last 10 games, .853 OPS L5) and the team is 7-3 in L10 on a win streak. The Pirates have elite contact with Esmerlyn Valdez (.305/1.106 OPS), Nick Gonzales (.400 L14), and Bryan Reynolds (.873 OPS). The Yankees have more cold bats (Wells, Goldschmidt, Rosario, Caballero all ❄️) and their offense is worse vs RHP. The Pirates are offered at -103, near even money, which is excellent value given Ashcraft's strong edge.