Pittsburgh Pirates vs Philadelphia Phillies

Braxton Ashcraft (ERA 3.07, WHIP 1.09, 107 K in 96.2 IP) is one of the best pitching matchups on the slate and creates a strong advantage over a struggling Aaron Nola (ERA 5.58, WHIP 1.45). Pittsburgh's offense has been elite in recent play (6.2 R/G in L5) with multiple hot hitters including Reynolds (.385), Griffin (.321), and O'Hearn (.311). The Phillies' offense is also hot but must face a dominant arm, and Nola's ERA is well above 5.00. At -108, Pirates are nearly pick-em value, which represents slight positive value given Ashcraft's edge.