Pittsburgh Pirates vs St. Louis Cardinals

Leahy (3.13 ERA, 1.30 WHIP, 10-4) is the clear pitching edge here against Bachar (3.70 ERA, 1.11 WHIP, 1-3). STL's Jordan Walker (.351 L14) and Alec Burleson (.333 L14) are both scorching hot, and the Cardinals have scored 4.9 R/G in their last 10. Pittsburgh's offense has completely fallen apart — just 2.5 R/G over their last 5 games (.187 AVG, .557 OPS) with several cold hitters. PIT is on a 2-game losing streak and 4-6 L10. The Leahy advantage plus PIT's offensive collapse tips this to STL, though the pitching edge is moderate rather than dominant.