San Diego Padres vs Chicago Cubs

With San Diego's starter TBD, Chicago holds a significant pitching advantage with Imanaga (ERA 4.40, WHIP 1.05 — the WHIP being the key metric showing strong command). The Cubs are red hot — 8-2 in L10, W2 streak, and a scorching 7.7 R/G in the last 10 games. Pete Crow-Armstrong (.875 OPS, .375 L14) is the best hitter in this game right now. San Diego's offense is weak (.662 OPS, 3.91 R/G) and their unknown starter creates real downside. The -157 price is slightly elevated but the TBD starter and Cubs' form make this a lean.