MLB Picks · September 24, 2026
San Diego Padres vs Los Angeles Dodgers
Strong Lean🐶 Dog of the Day
Padres ML
+144
71
/ 100
Starting Pitchers
San Diego Padres · Away
Nick Pivetta (RHP)
Los Angeles Dodgers · Home
Tyler Glasnow (RHP)
AI Analysis
San Diego is scorching hot — 8-2 in their last 10, 6.2 R/G in their last 5 games (.297 AVG, .854 OPS), with Tatis Jr. (🔥 .328 L14), Merrill (🔥 .356 L14), Bogaerts (🔥 .320 L14), and Cronenworth (🔥 .296 L14) all running hot. Glasnow's 3.46 ERA and 0.96 WHIP in only 67.2 IP is elite when healthy, but the small sample and Dodgers' key hitters being cold (Ohtani ❄️ .132 L14, Freeman ❄️ .175 L14, Edman ❄️ .089 L14) tempers LAD's offensive projection. Pivetta's 3.30 ERA in 30 IP is a small sample but encouraging. The +144 price on a red-hot 88-70 team facing a pitcher with limited innings is genuine value.
Concerns
- •Glasnow's 0.96 WHIP and 87 K in 67.2 IP suggests elite form — small sample risk both ways
- •Pivetta only 30 IP of data — very limited track record this season
- •Dodgers are 97-61 — best overall team on the slate
- •Dodgers L5 offense: 5.1 R/G, .284 AVG, .874 OPS — extremely hot
- •Kyle Tucker (🔥 .400 L14) and Betts (🔥 .327 L14) are dangerous for LAD
Factor Breakdown